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Seasonal Climate Watch - September 2020 to January 2021

The following text is an extract from the latest report from South African Weather Service:
Date issued: September 04, 2020

Overview

"The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently in a Neutral state and the forecast indicates that it will most likely move towards weak La Niña state during spring and early summer. The likelihood of a La Niña phase during the coming summer months has drastically improved in the last few months, and it will be continuously monitored as we move closer to the summer forecasts.

The multi-model rainfall forecast for spring, late spring and early summer (Sep-Oct-Nov, Oct-Nov-Dec and Nov-Dec-Jan) indicate increased chances of above-normal rainfall over most parts of the country with the main focus being on the summer rainfall areas in the north east of South Africa. In general, most of the country is expected to experience above-normal temperatures during spring and late spring, with below-normal maximum temperatures predicted for the north eastern parts of the country during early summer.

The South African Weather Service will continue to monitor and provide updates on any future assessments that may provide more clarity on the current expectations for the coming seasons"

 

 

by John Llewellyn